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	<title>The Model Ship Blog &#187; gambling</title>
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		<title>Crosby&#8217;s Shootout Winner Gives Penguins Victory Over Blue Jackets</title>
		<link>http://www.themodelshipblog.com/crosbys-shootout-winner-gives-penguins-victory-over-blue-jackets/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Oct 2010 07:14:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sports & Recreation]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Columbus Blue Jackets learned a valuable lesson about NHL hockey on Friday night-it's dangerous to 'sit on a lead' and particularly against the defending Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh Penguins. Down 3-1, Pittsburgh tied the game late in the third period as Ruslan Fedotenko and Alex Goligoski each lit the lamp with less than three minutes remaining. After a scoreless overtime period, Sidney Crosby scored the only goal of the shootout to give the Penguins an improbable 4-3 victory. It was the 9th win in ten games for Pittsburgh, who are a perfect 6-0-0 on the road.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Columbus Blue Jackets learned a valuable lesson about NHL hockey on Friday night-it&#8217;s dangerous to &#8216;sit on a lead&#8217; and particularly against the defending Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh Penguins. Down 3-1, Pittsburgh tied the game late in the third period as Ruslan Fedotenko and Alex Goligoski each lit the lamp with less than three minutes remaining. After a scoreless overtime period, Sidney Crosby scored the only goal of the shootout to give the Penguins an improbable 4-3 victory. It was the 9th win in ten games for Pittsburgh, who are a perfect 6-0-0 on the road.</p>
<p>NHL hockey betting enthusiasts cashed wagers on the road underdog Penguins, but on the moneyline at +117 and the puckline. Pittsburgh has gotten off to a great start this year, going 11-2-0 in the first month of the season. Columbus is struggling to stay above .500 at 6-5-1. The 7 combined goals scored went OVER the posted total of 5&#8242;.</p>
<p>Crosby&#8217;s game winning score in overtime wasn&#8217;t exactly the stuff of highlight reels, with the puck barely trickling over the line:</p>
<p>&#8220;It was kind of a fluky. The puck kept going. I don&#8217;t know if he lost it or he didn&#8217;t know where it was or whatever. I just tried a quick shot. I thought he had the save there. It just trickled in.&#8221;</p>
<p>Jackets&#8217; goalie Steve Mason gave this version of events:</p>
<p>&#8220;It hit my stick and I didn&#8217;t get it settled until it was over the line. It just trickled over and I was too late on it.&#8221;</p>
<p>Penguins&#8217; left winger Chris Kunitz scored a shorthanded goal and praised the leadership abilities of team captain Crosby:</p>
<p>&#8220;It shows a lot of character from our captain. He goes out and he&#8217;s never quitting on anything. Sometimes a team goes packing, down by two with 3 minutes left. But he goes out, he&#8217;s on the bench, he&#8217;s saying, &#8216;Let&#8217;s get the next one.&#8217; So we go out there and he finds himself the puck and he gets it to Goligoski, he gets a great shot and puts it in the net to get us to overtime.&#8221;</p>
<p>Columbus&#8217; Rick Nash suggested that his team is having trouble &#8216;closing out&#8217; games:</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re not closing games. We got the lead in a lot of the games already and just can&#8217;t seem to close it out. They are the defending Stanley Cup champions. You can tell why they&#8217;re such a good team. We are a team that needs to learn how to play with the lead.&#8221;</p>
<p>Pittsburgh will host Minnesota on Saturday night before heading to southern California next week for games against the Los Angeles Kings and Anaheim Ducks. Columbus will play at Washington on Sunday before hosting the San Jose Sharks next Wednesday. That&#8217;ll be followed by a game in Atlanta against the Thrashers the next night.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a widely published widely published freelance sports writer and highly respected authority on <a rel="nofollow" target='_blank' href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/football_betting/813/1">football betting</a>. His writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sportsbooks and <a rel="nofollow" target='_blank' href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/sportsbook_directory/813/2">sportsbook directory</a> sites. He lives in Northern Nevada with three Jack Russell Terriers and a kangaroo. He is currently working on an autobiography of former interior secretary James Watt.</p>
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		<title>Houston Earns Big Road Win At Cincinnati</title>
		<link>http://www.themodelshipblog.com/houston-earns-big-road-win-at-cincinnati/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Sep 2010 07:03:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Behind a career day for quarterback Matt Schaub, the Houston Texans erased a 17-14 halftime deficit to score-- points in the second half and defeat the host Cincinnati Bengals 28-17. Schaub threw for 342 yards and 4 touchdowns against one interception in the solid road victory. Against a team that had won three straight games in the final seconds, Houston never gave Cincinnati the chance to create any late drama. Cincinnati dropped to 4-2 with the loss while Houston evened their record at 3-3.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Behind a career day for quarterback Matt Schaub, the Houston Texans erased a 17-14 halftime deficit to score&#8211; points in the second half and defeat the host Cincinnati Bengals 28-17. Schaub threw for 342 yards and 4 touchdowns against one interception in the solid road victory. Against a team that had won three straight games in the final seconds, Houston never gave Cincinnati the chance to create any late drama. Cincinnati dropped to 4-2 with the loss while Houston evened their record at 3-3.</p>
<p>Houston took the money as +3&#8242; road underdogs with the outright win, and both teams are now 3-3 on the season against the NFL pointspread. The 45 points just managed to stay UNDER the posted total of 46. The Texans have gone UNDER in 4 of 6 this season while the Bengals evened their NFL totals record at 3-3.</p>
<p>After the victory, Schaub said that his team knew of Houston&#8217;s penchant for late game comebacks and that &#8216;putting them away&#8217; would be a priority:</p>
<p>&#8220;Every game went down to the wire for them. Credit goes to them because they were able to find ways to win those games. So it was a matter of putting the game away.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Texans&#8217; taciturn head coach Gary Kubiak would only offer that:</p>
<p>&#8220;Matt continues to put up exceptional numbers on the road.&#8221;</p>
<p>The defense did a stellar job as well, shutting out the Bengals in the second half. In the third quarter, Houston only allowed six yards on nine plays for a franchise record. Cornerback Dunta Robininson talked about the defensive corps mindset:</p>
<p>&#8220;It was swarm tackling. Everybody has a job to do, and today we made this team a one-dimensional team. Overall as a defense, we played well.&#8221;</p>
<p>In the losing locker room, wide receiver Chad Ochocinco admitted that his team knew that they couldn&#8217;t rely on last minute heroics to win games:</p>
<p>&#8220;That&#8217;s our fault. We&#8217;ve been saying that we can&#8217;t keep winning with the way we&#8217;ve been playing. We&#8217;ve got to be consistent for all four quarters.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Bengals will play their next two games at home, starting with a contest against the Chicago Bears this Sunday. Cincinnati is a -1 home favorite with the total set at 42. They&#8217;ll host the Baltimore Ravens the following Sunday before traveling to Pittsburgh for a game against the Steelers on November 15. The Texans host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, with Houston a -3 home favorite and the total set at 44.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a world famous sports writer and a noted authority on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/sports_betting/641/1">sports betting</a> and harness racing. He contributes <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/NFL_football_betting_free_picks/641/2">NFL football betting free picks</a> for a number of media outlets. He lives in Southern Nevada with three dogs and a retired racing wombat.</p>
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		<title>Bills Upend Turnover Prone Panthers</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Aug 2010 07:11:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Carolina Panthers' quarterback Jake Delhomme is having a season he'd like to forget, and things got even worse on Sunday at home against the Buffalo Bills. Despite dominating the Bills on the stat sheet, Delhomme threw three interceptions that allowed Buffalo to take a 20-9 victory over the struggling Panthers. Delhomme threw for 325 yards, though without any touchdowns. His three picks pushed his total for the year to- which leads the NFL. The Panthers dropped to 2-4 while the Bills improved to 3-4.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Carolina Panthers&#8217; quarterback Jake Delhomme is having a season he&#8217;d like to forget, and things got even worse on Sunday at home against the Buffalo Bills. Despite dominating the Bills on the stat sheet, Delhomme threw three interceptions that allowed Buffalo to take a 20-9 victory over the struggling Panthers. Delhomme threw for 325 yards, though without any touchdowns. His three picks pushed his total for the year to- which leads the NFL. The Panthers dropped to 2-4 while the Bills improved to 3-4.</p>
<p>Buffalo rewarded NFL pointspread players with the outright victory as +7 road underdogs. The Bills have covered four of their seven games this season, while the Panthers have an awful record against the spread-they&#8217;ve only covered once this season for a 1-5 ATS mark. The 29 combined points went UNDER the posted total of 37. Buffalo has gone UNDER in 4 of 7 games this season while Carolina evened their NFL totals mark at 3-3.</p>
<p>The Bills&#8217; Terrell Owens was again a non-factor, but gave credit to the defense for earning the victory:</p>
<p>&#8220;You can&#8217;t really complain about a win. Defensively, those guys are keeping us in ballgames.&#8221;</p>
<p>Buffalo defensive end Chris Kelsay commended his team&#8217;s victory on the road:</p>
<p>&#8220;Never once on the sidelines was there any doubt that we were going to win the game. Regardless if it&#8217;s an ugly win over not, it&#8217;s hard to win in this league.&#8221;</p>
<p>Ryan Fitzpatrick started at QB for Buffalo in place of the injured Trent Edwards and was solid, if not spectacular. Coach Dick Jauron observed:</p>
<p>&#8220;He made the plays when we had to make them.&#8221;</p>
<p>Panthers&#8217; coach John Fox has said he&#8217;s going to&#8217;re-evaluate&#8217; whether the struggling Delhomme should continue to start, and even the quarterback himself couldn&#8217;t make an emphatic case that he should keep his job:</p>
<p>&#8220;In my heart, yeah, but I mean let&#8217;s be honest, I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;m a dummy. When you&#8217;re not playing well offensively, you always have to look at the quarterback.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Panthers&#8217; schedule doesn&#8217;t get easier this week as they head west for a game against the improving Arizona Cardinals. Carolina is a +9 road underdog with the total set at 43&#8242;. They&#8217;ll head south the following week to face the red hot New Orleans Saints before returning home on November 15 to take on the Atlanta Falcons. Buffalo will host the Houston Texans this weekend, with the game currently off the board due to injuries on both teams. They&#8217;ll have their bye week after that and will return to action on November 15 against the Tennessee Titans.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a widely published widely published freelance sports writer and noted authority on sports betting <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/odds_comparison/558/1">odds comparison</a>. He writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sportsbooks and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/betting_odds_portal/558/2">betting odds portal</a> sites. He lives in Las Vegas with three Jack Russell Terriers and an emu. He is currently working on an autobiography of former interior secretary James Watt.</p>
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		<title>Cowboys Trounce Seahawks</title>
		<link>http://www.themodelshipblog.com/cowboys-trounce-seahawks/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jul 2010 06:58:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Quarterback Tony Romo had another solid game, and the Dallas Cowboys made short work of the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday afternoon in a 38-17 victory. Romo threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions, and receiver Miles Austin caught a touchdown pass for the third straight game. The Cowboys improved to 5-2 with the win, while the Seahawks dropped to 2-5.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quarterback Tony Romo had another solid game, and the Dallas Cowboys made short work of the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday afternoon in a 38-17 victory. Romo threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions, and receiver Miles Austin caught a touchdown pass for the third straight game. The Cowboys improved to 5-2 with the win, while the Seahawks dropped to 2-5.</p>
<p>The Cowboys also got on the winning side of the NFL pointspread ledger with the win and cover as -10 home favorites. Dallas is now 4-3 against the spread for the season, while Seattle fell to 2-5 versus the number.</p>
<p>Romo has made greater patience in the pocket a priority this season, and it&#8217;s paying dividends. Sunday&#8217;s game was his third straight without an interception and he&#8217;s stayed interception free in five games this season-more than he did all of last year. Romo couldn&#8217;t resist a joke at his own expense:</p>
<p>&#8220;Shock! I&#8217;m seeing things. It&#8217;s as simple as that. I&#8217;m not throwing and hoping.&#8221;</p>
<p>Head coach Wade Phillips expressed his pleasure, but didn&#8217;t want his team to start believing their own press clippings:</p>
<p>&#8220;I feel good about the progress we&#8217;ve made, but we&#8217;ve still got a ways to go.&#8221;</p>
<p>Team owner Jerry Jones was happy with the performance and already looking ahead to next Sunday&#8217;s game at Philadelphia:</p>
<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m just glad to see as many people really do as well and play as well as they did today. Philadelphia is the kind of game that I think we&#8217;re ready for. &#8230; Plus, I think we all remember so much &#8212; I know I do and so many players on this team remember &#8212; how we left Philadelphia last year.&#8221;</p>
<p>Seattle quarterback Todd Hasselbeck played well, amassing 249 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions but didn&#8217;t get much help from a defense that couldn&#8217;t put the necessary pressure on Romo. He sounded frustrated in his postgame comments:</p>
<p>&#8220;We put two weeks into this game plan. I felt like we were ready. We just didn&#8217;t get it done. &#8230;. I feel physically drained, emotionally drained. I&#8217;m frustrated. We&#8217;re all searching for answers.&#8221;</p>
<p>The big game for the Cowboys that Jerry Jones alluded to is next Sunday night as they travel to Philadelphia to face the Eagles. The Cowboys have been installed as +3 underdogs with the total set at 47&#8242;. They&#8217;ll head to Green Bay to take on the Packers the following Sunday before returning home to play the hated Washington Redskins. Seattle will host the lowly Detroit Lions next Sunday, with the Seahawks a -10 home favorite and the total set at 43. They&#8217;ll hit the road for their next two games, facing the Arizona Cardinals and Minnesota Vikings.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a freelance sports writer and respected authority on sports betting <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/odds_comparison/494/1">odds comparison</a>. He writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sports news and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/sportsbook_directory/494/2">sportsbook directory</a> sites. He lives in Las Vegas with three Jack Russell Terriers and a kangaroo. He is currently working on an autobiography of former energy secretary Donald Hodell.</p>
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		<title>Carolina Thumps Slumping Tampa Bay</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 08:08:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Carolina Panthers' quarterback Jake Delhomme struggled on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and was fortunate that his running backs bailed him out. Delhomme threw for only 65 yards with two interceptions, but D'Angelo Williams (152 yards) and Jonathan Stewart (110 yards) kept the chains moving as the Panthers won their second straight game defeating the Bucs 28-21. Tampa Bay has now lost ten straight dating back to last season and are 0-6 for the first time since'85. The fact that they ended up starting that year 0-9 on their way to a 1-15 record doesn't bode well for the rest of the season.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Carolina Panthers\&#8217; quarterback Jake Delhomme struggled on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and was fortunate that his running backs bailed him out. Delhomme threw for only 65 yards with two interceptions, but D\&#8217;Angelo Williams (152 yards) and Jonathan Stewart (110 yards) kept the chains moving as the Panthers won their second straight game defeating the Bucs 28-21. Tampa Bay has now lost ten straight dating back to last season and are 0-6 for the first time since\&#8217;85. The fact that they ended up starting that year 0-9 on their way to a 1-15 record doesn\&#8217;t bode well for the rest of the season.</p>
<p>NFL sports bettors were faced with a choice between two teams with dismal ATS records in this game, and those who had the guts to take a 1-3 team as a -3 road favorite were rewarded with the cover. It was Carolina\&#8217;s first NFL pointspread cover of the season and left them with a 1-4 record against the number. Tampa Bay has covered one of their six games this year. The 49 points scored went OVER the total of 40\&#8217;. Tampa Bay has gone OVER in 4 of 6, while Carolina has exceeded the total in three of their five games.</p>
<p>Delhomme attempted only seven passes in the second half, but the way Williams and Stewart were running there was no reason to put the ball in the air. Williams said that even though Tampa Bay knew what was coming they couldn\&#8217;t stop the Panthers\&#8217; running game:</p>
<p>\&#8221;I\&#8217;m sure everybody in the stadium knew what we were going to do. There were times they had nine in the box and we were still getting 7 or 8 yards.\&#8221;</p>
<p>There\&#8217;s been little impatience locally with Bucs\&#8217; rookie head coach Raheem Morris, but his weekly habit of explaining the obvious to rationalize yet another loss is starting to wear thin:</p>
<p>\&#8221;We got overpowered at the end, and really throughout the game.\&#8221;</p>
<p>Carolina safety Dante Wesley was ejected after clobbering Bucs\&#8217; return man Clifton Smith after a fair catch call. After the game, Wesley gave this defense for his actions:</p>
<p>\&#8221;I was just trying to make a play. You can check my record. I\&#8217;ve never really tried to hurt anybody. I\&#8217;ve never tried to take a cheap shot on anybody.\&#8221;</p>
<p>Wesley could face a possible fine or suspension from the NFL but, in all fairness, it did appear to be a momentary mental lapse as he was trying to make a big play and not a deliberate attempt to injure Smith.</p>
<p>Tampa\&#8217;s schedule has the look of them going from \&#8217;the frying pan into the fire\&#8217; as they host the New England Patriots next Sunday-fresh off of their 57 point drubbing of Tennessee. Carolina has an easier draw, hosting the Buffalo Bills next Sunday. The game is currently off the board pending the status of Bills\&#8217; QB Trent Edwards who suffered a concussion in Sunday\&#8217;s win over the New York Jets. The Panthers will then play on the road the following two Sundays, traveling to Arizona and New Orleans.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a freelance sports writer and respected authority on sports betting <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/odds_comparison/208/1">odds comparison</a>. He writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sportsbooks and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/sportsbook_directory/208/2">sportsbook directory</a> sites. He lives in Southern Nevada with three Jack Russell Terriers and a kangaroo. He is currently working on an autobiography of former interior secretary James Watt.</p>
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		<title>Packers Shut Out Lowly Lions</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 08:08:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Green Bay Packers didn't do a good job protecting their quarterback last Sunday, but against the lowly Detroit Lions it didn't really matter. Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times, but Green Bay used a big first half offensive outburst to coast to a 26-0 NFL victory over the Detroit Lions. Rodgers threw two first half touchdown passes which was complimented by four Mason Crosby field goals as Green Bay improved to 3-2 on the season. The Lions slumped to 1-5 with the loss.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Green Bay Packers didn\&#8217;t do a good job protecting their quarterback last Sunday, but against the lowly Detroit Lions it didn\&#8217;t really matter. Packers\&#8217; QB Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times, but Green Bay used a big first half offensive outburst to coast to a 26-0 NFL victory over the Detroit Lions. Rodgers threw two first half touchdown passes which was complimented by four Mason Crosby field goals as Green Bay improved to 3-2 on the season. The Lions slumped to 1-5 with the loss.</p>
<p>NFL football betting enthusiasts who backed the Packers as -14 home dogs easily cashed their tickets with Green Bay\&#8217;s third pointspread cover in five games. Detroit slipped to 2-4 against the spread.</p>
<p>In the victory, Packers\&#8217; receiver Donald Driver passed Sterling Sharpe for first place on the franchise reception list. Sharpe finished his career with 596 receptions, Driver now has 602. After the game, he talked about the accomplishment:</p>
<p>\&#8221;It couldn\&#8217;t it come in a better place &#8212; at home in front of the fans I\&#8217;ve played in front of for so many years. It feels good. Now I just have to wait on Sterling to call me and congratulate me.\&#8221;</p>
<p>Despite the convincing victory, cornerback Tramon Williams wasn\&#8217;t happy with the relatively narrow margin:</p>
<p>\&#8221;It feels like a 50 to zero game, but we didn\&#8217;t quite get there. I felt we should\&#8217;ve put more points on the board.\&#8221;</p>
<p>For the Lions, their quarterback woes continued. Matthew Stafford is already out indefinitely with an injured knee, and against Green Bay backup Daunte Cullpepper injured his hamstring in the third quarter and was replaced by the Lions\&#8217; third string quarterback Drew Stanton. Cullpepper is now listed as \&#8217;questionable\&#8217; on the official NFL injury report. After the game, he talked about Detroit\&#8217;s lack of offense:</p>
<p>\&#8221;It\&#8217;s very disappointing, very frustrating. It\&#8217;s embarrassing to me not to be able to move it on the field and get points on the board. We\&#8217;ve got to figure out a way to do that, simple as that.\&#8221;</p>
<p>The Packers will play on the road this Sunday, heading to Cleveland to face the Browns. The game is currently off the board as linemakers try to get a handle on the personnel impact of the Browns\&#8217; struggle with a flu bug making its way through the locker room. Green Bay will host the Minnesota Vikings the following Sunday followed by a trip to Tampa Bay on November 8. Detroit has a bye this weekend and will return to action as they host the St. Louis Rams on November 1. They\&#8217;ll play their next two on the road, with games in Seattle and Minnesota.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a freelance writer and noted authority on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/World_Cup_soccer_betting/207/1">World Cup soccer betting</a>. His writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sports news and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/betting_odds/207/2">betting odds</a> sites. He lives in Las Vegas with three Jack Russell Terriers and a kangaroo. He is currently working on an autobiography of former interior secretary James Watt.</p>
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		<title>Future Book Betting Pitfalls And How To Avoid Them</title>
		<link>http://www.themodelshipblog.com/future-book-betting-pitfalls-and-how-to-avoid-them/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jan 2010 08:16:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Betting on sports 'futures' is an enjoyable and potentially profitable way to wager, but there are several potential risks that can lead to losses. Here's a rundown of things to avoid:]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Betting on sports \&#8217;futures\&#8217; is an enjoyable and potentially profitable way to wager, but there are several potential risks that can lead to losses. Here\&#8217;s a rundown of things to avoid:</p>
<p>Don\&#8217;t bet at the first place you look: In other words, shop around for the best price. This is essential to all aspects of sports betting, but especially important with futures wagers. You\&#8217;ll find more disparity between prices from book to book on futures than any other betting proposition. From a theoretical standpoint, a little work can yield much better value. From a practical standpoint, that means a higher payout should you win. The reason for this is that individual sportsbooks\&#8217; aren\&#8217;t as worried about what the other guys are doing as they are with most other bets. Once the futures \&#8221;market\&#8221; is set books move the lines almost exclusively on their own financial position. The market simply doesn\&#8217;t respond as quickly to futures wagers as it does to individual game lines so it is essential to do the extra work to get the best price on your proposition.</p>
<p>Don\&#8217;t fixate on picking the winner from a competitive field: This may sound like strange advice, but from a theoretical standpoint it makes perfect sense. As with every other element of sport wagering its crucial to always focus not on winners and losers, but on the value you\&#8217;re getting on individual bets. For example, in most years there are several teams with a realistic shot of winning at the start of the NCAA basketball tournament. The problem is that these top teams invariably offer low paybacks that are less than their \&#8217;true odds\&#8217; of winning. Every team is subject to the same variables like injuries, slumps, bad matchups but backing teams that are \&#8217;under the radar\&#8217; at higher prices offer more compensation for these \&#8217;risks\&#8217;.</p>
<p>To put this in more theoretical terms, the \&#8221;true odds\&#8221; of Duke winning the NCAA Championship are almost certainly higher than the price we\&#8217;re getting. Obviously, determining the \&#8221;true odds\&#8221;, or actual probability of a future event is an inexact science but think of it this way: if the NCAA tournament was played 100 times would Duke wind up winning 50 of those? Given the number of other good teams and the propensity for upsets along the way, its doubtful. For the sake of argument, lets say that Duke has a 33% chance to win the tournament. That means that I wouldn\&#8217;t consider a bet on Duke to be a good value unless I was getting a price that a) accurately reflected the true probability of their winning and b) gave me some compensation for assuming the \&#8221;risk of the unknown\&#8221; inherent in taking the position so far in advance. At +500 I might be interested, but at +200 the value just isn\&#8217;t there.</p>
<p>In a less competitive field, there can be instances where even a big favorite is a good value. For example, lets say a book was to take action on a bikini contest between a Victoria\&#8217;s Secret supermodel and three members of the Pittsburgh Penguins. The model would essentially be a 100% probability to win the contest, meaning that even a high chalk price would be a good value. Risking a lot of money to win a little is a tough thing to justify, however, even if the math makes sense.</p>
<p>Don\&#8217;t go for the big killing: Sports wagering is not a good arena in which to make a \&#8217;big killing\&#8217;. It may happen from time to time, but it is extremely rare. A perennial doormat can come out of nowhere to win a championship at a big price, but the fact that it happens from time to time doesn\&#8217;t make it a good value. If you\&#8217;re a recreational player and want to throw a few dollars at a big long shot, no real harm. If you aspire to any degree of seriousness as a sports better, however, you need to maintain your discipline and commitment to value at all times. If you want to hit a big jackpot play the lottery or the slot machines, but don\&#8217;t try to do it in a sports betting paradigm.</p>
<p>On a more theoretical level, a big price alone is no way to justify a wager. The concept of value works the same at the bottom of the barrel as it does at the top: make sure the price you\&#8217;re getting on an underdog accurately reflects their \&#8221;true odds\&#8221; of winning.</p>
<p>Don\&#8217;t waste your money on ridiculous prop bets: Occasionally sports books offer ridiculous bets to get press or to be funny. For example, a book once offered odds on Demi Moore, Ashton Kutcher and Bruce Willis all hopping into bed together and releasing a video tape of the proceedings. You\&#8217;d no doubt get a huge payback were this to happen, but the \&#8217;true odds\&#8217; of such an event transpiring far exceeded even a big potential payback.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a widely published freelance sports writer and highly respected authority on sports betting <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/odds_comparison/63/1">odds comparison</a>. He writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sports news and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/betting_odds_portal/63/2">betting odds portal</a> sites. He lives in Las Vegas with three Jack Russell Terriers and a kangaroo. He is currently working on an autobiography of former interior secretary James Watt.</p>
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		<title>Bengals Make Short Work of Bears</title>
		<link>http://www.themodelshipblog.com/bengals-make-short-work-of-bears/</link>
		<comments>http://www.themodelshipblog.com/bengals-make-short-work-of-bears/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jan 2010 08:14:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ross Everett</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Former Chicago Bears running back Cedric Benson got revenge on the team that let him go in the best possible way. Benson amassed 189 yards rushing and led his new team, the Cincinnati Bengals, to a 45-10 rout over the visiting Bears on Sunday. Carson Palmer threw for five touchdowns with no interceptions in the blowout victory.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Former Chicago Bears running back Cedric Benson got revenge on the team that let him go in the best possible way. Benson amassed 189 yards rushing and led his new team, the Cincinnati Bengals, to a 45-10 rout over the visiting Bears on Sunday. Carson Palmer threw for five touchdowns with no interceptions in the blowout victory.</p>
<p>The Bengals also made short work of the NFL pointspread, easily covering as +1\&#8217; home underdogs. Cincinnati improved to 4-3 against the number while Chicago evened their ATS mark at 3-3.</p>
<p>A smug Benson described his feelings after the win:</p>
<p>\&#8221;Everybody knew it was going to be an emotional day. Everybody knew. What a wonderful day and a wonderful thing, to go out there and strut your stuff.\&#8221;</p>
<p>Despite the evidence to the contrary, Benson downplayed the motive of revenge:</p>
<p>\&#8221;I continue to be as graceful as I can be. I\&#8217;m not shoving anything in anybody\&#8217;s face. Like I say, it wasn\&#8217;t a revenge day for me. I just wanted to take advantage of the opportunities.\&#8221;</p>
<p>He said his biggest problem was trying to keep his emotions in check and play under control:</p>
<p>\&#8221;There were a few times where I may have gotten a little too hyped up, a little too antsy. A couple of drives, I found myself having to calm myself down and gather my emotions to stay poised. Once I got past that, we were good to go. Keep it rolling.\&#8221;</p>
<p>Bengals\&#8217; receiver Chad Ochocinco had 10 catches for 118 yards and two touchdowns. He shared his thoughts postgame:</p>
<p>\&#8221;I don\&#8217;t understand why it went this way today and why it didn\&#8217;t go that way last week or the week before that. The offensive line played unbelievable. For Ced to run the way he did today and for us to be able to throw, we could have done what we wanted to do.\&#8221;</p>
<p>Chicago gave up more points than in any game all season, a fact that left defensive end Alex Brown looking for answers:</p>
<p>\&#8221;That was pretty embarrassing. It\&#8217;s embarrassing to come out and play like that. I tip my hat to their whole team. Cedric ran the ball like crazy. They did whatever they wanted to do.\&#8221;</p>
<p>The Bengals will enjoy a bye week before hosting the Baltimore Ravens on November 8. They\&#8217;ll then play two games on the road at Pittsburgh and Oakland. Chicago will try to get back on track this Sunday as they host the Cleveland Browns. The Bears are -13\&#8217; home favorites with the total set at 40.</p>
<p>Ross Everett is a widely published freelance writer specializing in casino gambling, fine dining and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/sports_betting/54/1">sports betting</a>. He has appeared on a number of TV and radio programs offering strategies for successful <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.themodelshipblog.com/goto/NFL_football_betting/54/2">NFL football betting</a>. He lives in Northern Nevada with three Jack Russell Terriers and a pet llama. He is currently writing a biography of former NFL quarterback Jim Plunkett.</p>
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